What’s more, he is down on last season for expected goals (xG) – the amount of goals he would be expected to have scored from the chances he’s had – as well as his expected assists (xA) – the amount of goals expected to be scored from the chances he’s created. Per 90, his xG is 0.13, from 0.22 last season, while his xA is 0.21, compared to 0.3. He’s clearly had a drop off in form, and that will affect his value. Another factor is that Monaco are also nowhere near the side they were last season. They’ve had a big drop-off in the league, and it’s almost certain they won’t defend their title. Last weekend they went down 2-1 to Paris Saint-Germain, with the capital club dominating in France, having only dropped two points all season. That loss saw Monaco fall to third, nine points behind PSG, which already looks an unassailable lead. Perhaps that wouldn’t be such a disaster if their Champions League campaign hadn’t completely fallen apart either.
With one game left, they not only cannot reach the knockout stages, they can’t even fall back into the Europa League stage. Despite avoiding the big European giants, Monaco have just two points from their first five games, in a group that consists of them, Besiktas, Porto and Leipzig.
And that poor performance both domestically in Europe will put them at a bigger risk of losing their stars that remain at the club, like Lemar and Fabinho. And only last month, Monaco vice-president Vadim Vasilyev admitted Lemar could leave the club, and came close to a departure in the summer.
“Liverpool were really interested,” Vasilyev told Sky Sports. “But it was Arsenal that was really close to finalising the deal. It was quite close. At the same time it was just too late, not enough time to really follow up on this deal.
“Not all the elements of the puzzle fell in place. I'm very happy he stayed with us. For us, we need a player like Thomas Lemar. He's very important to our team.
“Definitely next summer it will be something to look at, although you know in football there are no guarantees.
“We had some players who were supposed to leave this summer but didn't leave because of X, Y, Z.
"I think it would be fair to say Thomas will have a fair chance to an exit next year.
“January? In football, never say never, but this is not what we're thinking of, this is really not in our plans.
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