Thursday 7 December 2017

Chelsea vs Barcelona is 41.3 per cent chance in the Champions League last 16 draw

CHELSEA look set to face Barcelona or Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League last-16… as they face horror draw on Monday.
In a massive blow, the Blues have a 41.3 per cent chance of facing the La Liga leaders after slipping to second in Group C.
Chelsea look set to go up against Barcelona or PSG in the Champions League last-16
After stuttering to a 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid, Chelsea allowed themselves to be leapfrogged by Roma, both on 11 points.
Despite boasting a better goal difference, their 3-0 humiliation in Rome saw them come out second-best.
With all four other English teams topping their group, Chelsea’s options are now drastically limited – as clubs from the same nation can’t face each other in the last-16.
That means just THREE teams remain in the pot for them – with Barcelona a 41.3 per cent shot, based on four million simulations of the official draw procedure. There’s a 29.3 per cent chance the Blues could face PSG, with Besiktas – by no means an easy away trip – a 29.4 per cent shot.
As LiverpoolManchester CityManchester United and Tottenham did all win their respective groups, their options for the last-16 are all wide open. That means teams like Real Madrid, Juventus and Bayern Munich all come into play – after they slipped to second place in their groups.
However, no team has more than a 20 per cent shot of facing the big boys – much better odds than Chelsea’s 41.3 per cent shot of facing Barca. Interestingly, despite being in the top pot of seeds after winning their group, Liverpool are the lowest-ranked side left in the competition.
Based on the European club coefficient ranking, Liverpool come in at No32 – with the next-lowest Roma (30).

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE POTS (and ranking)

Pot 1: Manchester United (14), PSG (6), Roma (30), Barcelona (3), Liverpool (32), Manchester City (8), Besiktas (28), Tottenham (21).
Pot 2: Basel (20), Bayern Munich (4), Chelsea (15), Juventus (5), Sevilla (7), Shakhtar Donetsk (16), Porto (12), Real Madrid (1).
From The Sun

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